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    Capability Interpretation

    Cpk = 1.33: The 4σ Target

    3 min read Last updated

    Cpk 1.33 is a widely cited reference value. It places the nearest specification limit at 3.99σ. Expected total PPM cannot be determined from Cpk alone unless the opposite tail or process centering is also known.

    The engineering question this page answers

    Is Cpk 1.33 actually acceptable for this characteristic — or is 1.67 the real requirement?

    What it means

    At Cpk 1.33, the nearest specification limit is 3.99 standard deviations from the mean using the stated within-process sigma estimate. The margin on the opposite side depends on centering and Cp.

    Decision logic

    Read the CSR and drawing note before quoting 1.33 as pass ↓ Is the characteristic safety, regulatory, or special? → often 1.67 or higher ↓ Is this ongoing production? → 1.33 is common but not universal ↓ Is this PPAP launch? → 1.67 is the more common launch reference ↓ Non-normal data? Recompute with the customer-approved method

    Typical PPM and sigma equivalent

    • Typical PPM: ≈ 33.1 PPM at the nearest limit; ≈ 66.1 PPM only for a perfectly centered, two-sided process
    • Sigma equivalent: 3.99σ to the nearest specification limit

    Typical industry requirements

    Common automotive practice uses 1.33 for established production and 1.67 for some initial or launch studies, but the controlling value is always the applicable customer-specific requirement, drawing, Control Plan, or internal standard. Do not treat these values as universal pass/fail rules.

    Engineering procedure

    1. Confirm the source of the 1.33 target: contract, drawing, Control Plan, or internal SOP.
    2. Verify the study window matches the reference (short-term vs long-term).
    3. Report Cpk with its confidence interval; a lower CL below 1.33 is a failing study for small n.
    4. State the σ estimator and normality assumption.

    Typical failure modes

    • Applying 1.33 to a special characteristic that actually requires 1.67.
    • Reporting Cpk 1.33 without the confidence interval on small samples.
    • Using 1.33 as a Ppk threshold; the two are not interchangeable.

    Engineering insight

    • 1.33 corresponds to 3.99σ at the nearest limit — very close to 4σ, not exactly 4σ.
    • Cpk 1.33 on a small sample (n = 30) has a wide confidence interval; the true value could be below 1.15.
    • Automotive scorecards frequently list 1.33 as "acceptable" while the CSR itself lists 1.67 for special characteristics — always read both.

    When NOT to use this metric

    • Do not use 1.33 for characteristics classified as safety, critical, significant, or regulated.
    • Do not use 1.33 as a universal threshold across customers.

    Relationship to other capability metrics

    • Cpk 1.33 ≈ 3.99σ ≈ 32 PPM at the nearest tail; ≈ 64 PPM two-sided centered.
    • To reach 1.67 from 1.33 requires roughly 25% σ reduction at constant centering.

    Engineering notes

    • Cpk 1.33 is a floor, not a ceiling. Design capacity plans on higher headroom.

    Continue the investigation

    Continue with Cpk = 1.67 for launch requirements and Automotive Cpk Requirements for CSR mapping.

    Verification checklist

    • Governing target verified against CSR / drawing, not assumed
    • Characteristic class (special vs standard) confirmed
    • Sample size adequate for a defensible lower confidence limit
    • Study window matches the reference (Cpk vs Ppk)

    Assumptions and applicability

    • Process condition: statistical stability is required.
    • Distribution assumption: approximately normal data.
    • PPM convention: nearest specification-limit tail.
    • Sigma-shift convention: no sigma shift applied.
    • Cpk alone identifies distance to the nearest specification limit; it does not determine total two-sided defects unless centering or both tail distances are known.
    • Predicted PPM is a model estimate, not a replacement for observed defect data.

    Sources and engineering references

    External engineering references used for this page. Qhubio applies these references to the practical guidance above.

    Frequently asked questions